Insights / us
MAR
Marriott International, Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
20.37%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+5.36%
Outer 90%
7/7(100%)
Middle 50%
1/7(14%)
Above median
6/7(86%)
Below median
1/7(14%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.97%P25: -2.12%P50: 0.00%P75: 1.93%P95: 8.40%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.