Insights / us
MAA
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.39%
P05–P95 span
9.75%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+6.04%
Outer 90%
6/9(67%)
Middle 50%
1/9(11%)
Above median
7/9(78%)
Below median
2/9(22%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.11%P25: -0.88%P50: 0.39%P75: 1.76%P95: 5.63%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.