Insights / us
MAA
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.US05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.66%
P05–P95 span
21.97%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.56
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.85%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.53%P25: -0.84%P50: 1.66%P75: 6.60%P95: 14.44%
Computed at: 05/13/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 19.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.