Insights / us
MAA
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.US04/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.81%
P05–P95 span
18.06%
Neighbors
38
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.74%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -15.15%P25: -5.33%P50: -0.81%P75: 0.82%P95: 2.91%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 37.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.