Insights / us
MA
Mastercard IncorporatedUS06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.80%
P05–P95 span
12.75%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-1.33%
Outer 90%
6/7(86%)
Middle 50%
5/7(71%)
Above median
4/7(57%)
Below median
3/7(43%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.98%P25: -2.86%P50: -0.80%P75: 1.76%P95: 6.77%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.