Insights / us
LYB
LyondellBasell Industries N.V.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.21%
P05–P95 span
14.22%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-4.86%
Outer 90%
7/7(100%)
Middle 50%
2/7(29%)
Above median
0/7(0%)
Below median
7/7(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.94%P25: -1.78%P50: 0.21%P75: 2.51%P95: 8.28%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 14.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.