Insights / us
LYB
LyondellBasell Industries N.V.US04/22/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.05%
P05–P95 span
13.20%
Neighbors
38
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.68%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.30%P25: -0.32%P50: 1.05%P75: 3.43%P95: 9.90%
Computed at: 04/23/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 37.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.