Insights / us
LYB
LyondellBasell Industries N.V.US04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.55%
P05–P95 span
12.79%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.28%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.48%P25: -0.77%P50: 0.55%P75: 2.11%P95: 7.32%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 24.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.