Insights / us
LUV
Southwest Airlines Co.US06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.27%
P05–P95 span
16.80%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+6.85%
Outer 90%
3/5(60%)
Middle 50%
2/5(40%)
Above median
2/5(40%)
Below median
3/5(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.34%P25: -1.74%P50: 0.27%P75: 1.59%P95: 6.46%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 19.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.