Insights / us
LUV
Southwest Airlines Co.US05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.16%
P05–P95 span
10.49%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.63%
Outer 90%
1/10(10%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.63%P25: -0.63%P50: 1.16%P75: 3.21%P95: 6.87%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 21.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.