Insights / us
LULU
lululemon athletica inc.US05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.49%
P05–P95 span
14.74%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.25%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.76%P25: -3.50%P50: -0.49%P75: 1.86%P95: 5.98%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.