Insights / us
LULU
lululemon athletica inc.US05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.85%
P05–P95 span
18.38%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.63%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.23%P25: -3.93%P50: -0.85%P75: 2.06%P95: 6.15%
Computed at: 05/13/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.