Insights / us
LRCX
Lam Research CorporationUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.75%
P05–P95 span
8.11%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.84
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+12.58%
Outer 90%
4/9(44%)
Middle 50%
2/9(22%)
Above median
6/9(67%)
Below median
3/9(33%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.56%P25: -0.50%P50: 0.75%P75: 2.18%P95: 5.55%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.