Insights / us
LRCX
Lam Research CorporationUS05/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.80%
P05–P95 span
12.87%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.97%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.36%P25: -0.84%P50: 0.80%P75: 3.60%P95: 9.51%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.