Insights / us
LRCX
Lam Research CorporationUS04/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.41%
P05–P95 span
13.78%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+14.79%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.29%P25: -1.22%P50: 0.41%P75: 1.69%P95: 4.50%
Computed at: 04/28/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.