Insights / us
LRCX
Lam Research CorporationUS04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.65%
P05–P95 span
11.47%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-7.59%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.21%P25: -1.12%P50: 0.65%P75: 1.85%P95: 6.26%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 31.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.