LNT

Alliant Energy CorporationUS05/18/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.58%
P05–P95 span
18.40%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.68%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.66%P25: -0.44%P50: 1.58%P75: 4.63%P95: 14.74%

Computed at: 05/19/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.2 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.