Insights / us
LNT
Alliant Energy CorporationUS05/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.02%
P05–P95 span
14.19%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.25%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.55%P25: -2.46%P50: -1.02%P75: 0.33%P95: 3.63%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 16.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.