Insights / us
LNT
Alliant Energy CorporationUS05/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.07%
P05–P95 span
13.51%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.77%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.32%P25: -1.78%P50: 0.07%P75: 2.27%P95: 8.19%
Computed at: 05/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.