Insights / us
LMT
Lockheed Martin CorporationUS04/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.73%
P05–P95 span
12.38%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-15.64%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.31%P25: -2.74%P50: -0.73%P75: 0.96%P95: 5.08%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 39.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.