Insights / us
LLYVA
Liberty Live Holdings IncUS06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.59%
P05–P95 span
20.99%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+7.30%
Outer 90%
3/3(100%)
Middle 50%
0/3(0%)
Above median
2/3(67%)
Below median
1/3(33%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.72%P25: -0.18%P50: 2.59%P75: 5.42%P95: 17.27%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.