LLY

Eli Lilly and CompanyUS06/08/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.27%

P05–P95 span

12.91%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.74

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+2

-0.35%

Outer 90%

1/2(50%)

Middle 50%

1/2(50%)

Above median

0/2(0%)

Below median

2/2(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.55%P25: -2.04%P50: -0.27%P75: 1.82%P95: 4.36%

Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.