LLY

Eli Lilly and CompanyUS04/09/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-2.91%

P05–P95 span

13.55%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.73

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

-8.27%

Outer 90%

6/10(60%)

Middle 50%

5/10(50%)

Above median

2/10(20%)

Below median

8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.95%P25: -5.08%P50: -2.91%P75: -0.45%P95: 4.60%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 26.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.