LII

Lennox International Inc.US06/01/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.30%
P05–P95 span
16.01%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-4.51%
Outer 90%
4/7(57%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
0/7(0%)
Below median
7/7(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.73%P25: -2.36%P50: -0.30%P75: 1.79%P95: 7.28%

Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.