LII

Lennox International Inc.US05/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.18%
P05–P95 span
14.73%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.20%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.66%P25: -0.71%P50: 1.18%P75: 2.31%P95: 8.07%

Computed at: 05/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 19.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.