Insights / us
LII
Lennox International Inc.US04/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.53%
P05–P95 span
9.96%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.93%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.00%P25: -1.76%P50: -0.53%P75: 0.83%P95: 3.96%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.