Insights / us
LEN
Lennar CorporationUS05/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.11%
P05–P95 span
13.19%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.32%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.63%P25: -0.31%P50: 2.11%P75: 5.50%P95: 10.56%
Computed at: 05/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 12.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.