Insights / us
LDOS
Leidos Holdings, Inc.US05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.84%
P05–P95 span
11.50%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.48%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.41%P25: -4.99%P50: -2.84%P75: -0.11%P95: 4.10%
Computed at: 05/22/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 12.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.