Insights / us
LDOS
Leidos Holdings, Inc.US05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.84%
P05–P95 span
18.15%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.93%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.01%P25: -0.21%P50: 1.84%P75: 4.14%P95: 9.15%
Computed at: 05/13/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 20.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.