L

Loews CorporationUS06/02/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+2.17%
P05–P95 span
11.55%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+2.48%
Outer 90%
6/6(100%)
Middle 50%
6/6(100%)
Above median
3/6(50%)
Below median
3/6(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -2.74%P25: 0.11%P50: 2.17%P75: 5.89%P95: 8.81%

Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.