Insights / us
L
Loews CorporationUS05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.33%
P05–P95 span
10.03%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.78%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.21%P25: -1.93%P50: -0.33%P75: 0.74%P95: 5.82%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.