Insights / us
L
Loews CorporationUS04/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.28%
P05–P95 span
9.22%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.93%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.09%P25: -0.09%P50: 1.28%P75: 2.46%P95: 5.13%
Computed at: 04/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.