KR

The Kroger Co.US06/04/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.00%
P05–P95 span
25.02%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.50
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+2.26%
Outer 90%
4/4(100%)
Middle 50%
3/4(75%)
Above median
2/4(50%)
Below median
2/4(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.74%P25: -1.75%P50: 1.00%P75: 3.22%P95: 12.28%

Computed at: 06/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.