Insights / us
KMX
CarMax, Inc.US05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.41%
P05–P95 span
17.18%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+15.89%
Outer 90%
1/8(13%)
Middle 50%
0/8(0%)
Above median
7/8(88%)
Below median
1/8(13%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.35%P25: -3.89%P50: -1.41%P75: 0.42%P95: 6.83%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.