Insights / us
KMX
CarMax, Inc.US05/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.09%
P05–P95 span
6.66%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.87
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.01%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -1.88%P25: -0.09%P50: 1.09%P75: 2.45%P95: 4.79%
Computed at: 05/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.