Insights / us
KHC
The Kraft Heinz CompanyUS04/22/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.05%
P05–P95 span
10.49%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.87%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.48%P25: -0.06%P50: 1.05%P75: 2.40%P95: 8.01%
Computed at: 04/23/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.