Insights / us
KEY
KeyCorpUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.91%
P05–P95 span
15.27%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+5.92%
Outer 90%
9/9(100%)
Middle 50%
2/9(22%)
Above median
7/9(78%)
Below median
2/9(22%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.95%P25: -3.16%P50: -0.91%P75: 0.93%P95: 7.33%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.