Insights / us
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.35%
P05–P95 span
6.23%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.88
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+5.77%
Outer 90%
2/9(22%)
Middle 50%
0/9(0%)
Above median
8/9(89%)
Below median
1/9(11%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.97%P25: -1.35%P50: -0.35%P75: 0.79%P95: 2.26%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.