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JD
JD.com IncUS06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.62%
P05–P95 span
15.40%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
-3.94%
Outer 90%
1/2(50%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
0/2(0%)
Below median
2/2(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.93%P25: -3.69%P50: -0.62%P75: 1.89%P95: 7.46%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.