Insights / us
JCI
Johnson Controls International plcUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.15%
P05–P95 span
12.94%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+5.97%
Outer 90%
4/9(44%)
Middle 50%
1/9(11%)
Above median
8/9(89%)
Below median
1/9(11%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.64%P25: -1.61%P50: 0.15%P75: 2.01%P95: 7.30%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.