Insights / us
IVZ
Invesco Ltd.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.36%
P05–P95 span
15.12%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+3.02%
Outer 90%
7/7(100%)
Middle 50%
4/7(57%)
Above median
4/7(57%)
Below median
2/7(29%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.36%P25: -2.26%P50: -0.36%P75: 1.63%P95: 6.76%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.