Insights / us
IVZ
Invesco Ltd.US04/29/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.57%
P05–P95 span
14.32%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+8.28%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -1.96%P25: 0.07%P50: 1.57%P75: 3.32%P95: 12.37%
Computed at: 04/30/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.