Insights / us
IVZ
Invesco Ltd.US04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.62%
P05–P95 span
11.86%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.34%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.96%P25: 0.23%P50: 1.62%P75: 3.39%P95: 7.90%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 24.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.