ITW

Illinois Tool Works Inc.US05/18/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+1.45%

P05–P95 span

15.32%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.69

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+0.85%

Outer 90%

10/10(100%)

Middle 50%

8/10(80%)

Above median

3/10(30%)

Below median

7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.60%P25: -0.69%P50: 1.45%P75: 3.32%P95: 10.71%

Computed at: 05/19/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 20.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.