Insights / us
IT
Gartner, Inc.US05/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.20%
P05–P95 span
10.42%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.66%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.10%P25: -1.19%P50: 0.20%P75: 2.61%P95: 6.32%
Computed at: 05/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.