Insights / us
ISRG
Intuitive Surgical, Inc.US06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.25%
P05–P95 span
15.61%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-0.23%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
2/5(40%)
Above median
4/5(80%)
Below median
1/5(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.98%P25: -2.92%P50: -0.25%P75: 1.23%P95: 3.62%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 17.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.