Insights / us
IREN
IREN LtdUS06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.31%
P05–P95 span
11.51%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
-3.82%
Outer 90%
1/2(50%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
0/2(0%)
Below median
2/2(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.11%P25: -3.30%P50: -1.31%P75: 0.45%P95: 4.40%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.