Insights / us
IREN
IREN LtdUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.09%
P05–P95 span
17.60%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-8.72%
Outer 90%
0/5(0%)
Middle 50%
0/5(0%)
Above median
0/5(0%)
Below median
5/5(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.73%P25: -1.92%P50: -0.09%P75: 1.33%P95: 6.87%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.