Insights / us
IP
International Paper CompanyUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.58%
P05–P95 span
18.44%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+2.64%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
2/5(40%)
Above median
1/5(20%)
Below median
4/5(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.03%P25: -2.52%P50: 0.58%P75: 4.20%P95: 11.41%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.