Insights / us
IP
International Paper CompanyUS05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.56%
P05–P95 span
11.71%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+6.10%
Outer 90%
6/8(75%)
Middle 50%
2/8(25%)
Above median
6/8(75%)
Below median
2/8(25%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.62%P25: -2.44%P50: -0.56%P75: 0.89%P95: 3.09%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.